Theme Lifecycle

Problem

The hard part of short-term trading is not collecting indicators, but separating market state, stock strength, sentiment turning points, and position discipline into independent decisions. In A-share markets, the same signal can mean opposite things across different cycle phases. This skill provides a cycle-first analytical framework that helps engineers or researchers break trading questions into inspectable, reviewable modules instead of asking for direct stock picks.

How It Works

The skill organizes a v1.0.0 methodology into ten reference files and loads only the files relevant to the current question:
- Cycle judgment: load 01-市场周期理论.md and 09-市场情绪分析方法.md to distinguish main uptrend, ebb, and chaos.
- Strategy matching: load 02/03/04 for defense, trial-and-error, or position-heavy logic depending on phase.
- Specialized analysis: add context around leading stocks, sector rotation, entry and exit, news flow, sentiment, and trading discipline.

The workflow is to judge cycle and sentiment first, match the corresponding strategy, then produce actionable analysis with risk disclaimers. It is useful for market review, strategy decomposition, sentiment analysis, and discipline checks.

Limits

This skill does not replace professional investment advice and does not recommend specific stocks. Market regimes change, so the modules should be validated against current conditions. Treat outputs as methodological references, not performance guarantees.