Equity and M&A Investment Risk Assessment
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About this skill
Problem
Investment reviews often label risks in vague terms: funding pressure, uncertain licenses, exit difficulty. The harder task is to pull comparable risk points from feasibility reports, due diligence memos, contracts, and financial materials, then decide how severe and how likely they are. This skill focuses on equity (including M&A), fixed-asset, heating, and fund projects, turning scattered judgment into a repeatable checklist.
Workflow
The skill first confirms project type and industry context, then loads the relevant risk lists:
- Equity/M&A projects use equity_risks.md
- Fixed-asset projects add general risks
- Heating and fund projects load specialized lists
Each matched risk is scored with scoring.md: impact I and likelihood P are rated 1–5, combined as I × P. Scores ≥15 are major, 6–14 are significant, and ≤5 are routine. The output table includes risk description, scoring basis, mitigation options, and sorting by severity, followed by a go/no-go recommendation.
Limits
It is best suited to file-based project review, such as feasibility reports, business plans, due diligence reports, and contract text. When key data is missing, the skill marks items as “to confirm” or uses conservative scoring instead of inventing facts.
Use Cases
- Review an M&A feasibility report and due diligence memo to identify risks and assign I×P severity scores.
- Before equity deal negotiations, extract valuation, legal compliance, and post-investment exit risks from deal documents.
- Evaluate a heating fixed-asset project by combining general and industry-specific risks into a review-ready risk table.
- As an LP reviewer, check GP eligibility, fund structure, and capital call breach contingency arrangements.
Best For
- M&A investment analysts who need to turn due diligence materials into a tiered risk checklist.
- Equity investment lawyers who need to identify valuation, representations, and exit protection gaps before negotiations.
- Fixed-asset project reviewers who need to check engineering, mineral rights, and concession risks.
- Fund investment managers who need to evaluate GP qualifications, LPA terms, and LP breach contingencies.
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