Three-Element Value Investing Valuation Framework
Paste the following prompt into your AI chat to install this skill:
Please follow https://skillhub.cn/install/skillhub.md and install @user_e38b0d17/guijiang-three-element-valuation into your AI assistant.
About this skill
What It Solves
When a user asks whether a company is cheap, the usual answer can swing between a story-driven DCF and a quick PB or PE screen. This skill forces a more disciplined decomposition: value the asset base first, test whether earning power is durable, and only then consider whether growth deserves a premium. It is designed for conservative valuation diagnosis, not for producing optimistic buy arguments.
How It Works
Given a company name or ticker, the skill follows a fixed workflow:
- Asset value A: starts from a going-concern or liquidation premise, then applies conservative adjustments to cash, receivables, inventory, fixed assets, liabilities, and off-balance-sheet obligations, ending with adjusted book value per share.
- Earning power value B / EPV: normalizes 5–10 years of results, removes one-time items, replaces accounting depreciation with maintenance capex, and applies a conservative discount rate, usually 10%–12%.
- Growth value G: entered only when A < B; instead of forcing a long-dated DCF, it checks cash-flow returns, organic growth drivers, and the historical return on retained earnings.
- Margin of safety and strike zone: defaults to Min(A, B) × (1 - margin), and can also report attention levels such as a 30% discount to asset value or a 50% discount as an ideal entry point.
The structured JSON output can then be rendered into an email-friendly HTML report for review or forwarding.
Boundaries
The skill is conservative by design: it should not lower cost of capital or raise growth assumptions just to make a company look cheap. In recession, liquidation, or data-scarce cases, the framework should fall back to asset or liquidation logic, or present conservative ranges. Email sending is an external action and should only happen when explicitly requested.
Use Cases
- Analyzing an A-share company with adjusted asset value first, then EPV, then economic franchise diagnostics.
- Converting company fundamentals into an email-ready three-element valuation report with risk and data limits.
- Checking current price against the strike zone using a 40% margin, 70% asset-value watch level, and 50% ideal entry.
- Valuing a high-goodwill or high-inventory company with conservative balance-sheet adjustments and explicit assumptions.
Best For
- Value investors who want to test margin of safety and strike zones instead of relying on long growth narratives.
- Equity research analysts who need fundamentals converted into asset value, EPV, and conservative conclusions.
- Investment team leads who need an email-friendly HTML review of diagnostics, risks, and data sources.
- Financial modelers who want to validate assumptions with normalized earnings, maintenance capex, and conservative discount rates.
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