Criminal Sentencing Prediction and Defense Strategy Assistant

Problem

In criminal cases, families and counsel often face concrete questions early on: how long the sentence may be, whether probation is realistic, whether a guilty plea bargain should be signed, and whether the prosecution evidence has gaps. Provincial standards for crimes such as theft, fraud, and occupational embezzlement differ, and judicial interpretations continue to update, so relying on memory or outdated thresholds can distort the sentencing range.

How it works

The skill structures sentencing analysis into six modules: M1 sentencing prediction, M2 probation assessment, M3 defense strategy, M4 evidence review, M5 plea bargaining, and M6 risk rating. Prediction uses a five-step method: identify the offense and statutory tier, anchor the sentencing starting point, adjust for amount, injury, aggravating or mitigating factors, then output optimistic, baseline, and conservative ranges. Probation scoring adds reinforcement suggestions, evidence review maps vulnerabilities in the prosecution file, and plea bargaining provides negotiation points and fallback positions. The materials also include regional amount standards and 2026 changes to some occupational and bribery-related offenses for local comparison.

Limits

This is useful for pre-trial reference, case preparation, and communicating with families, but it does not replace counsel’s judgment on the full evidence record. Users should verify jurisdiction, facts, offense, procedural stage, and the latest judicial interpretations; complex cases involving illegal evidence, multiple counts, co-perpetrators, or appeals require additional case-specific facts.