Stock Sentiment Cycle Analyzer

Problem

A common issue in short-term A-share trading is that the market may look active on the surface, but it is unclear whether it is in a warming, climax, or overheated phase. A local hotspot can also keep attracting attention even after sentiment is already fading. stock-sentimental-cycle focuses on one dimension only: the sentiment cycle. Instead of mixing in thematic analysis, money flow, and dragon-tiger board data, it tries to answer three concrete questions:

• What stage is the market in right now;
• Whether the current stage is more suited to waiting, trial exposure, holding, or taking profit;
• Whether there are reversal signals from freezing to recovery or from climax to fading.

How It Works

The skill maps market sentiment into a path of freezing → cold → warming → climax → overheated, then scores the day using a 100-point model. The main indicators include:

• Limit-up count: measures the absolute level of enthusiasm;
• Highest consecutive limit-up height: indicates the ceiling of market appetite;
• Failed limit-up rate: reflects seal quality;
• Profit effect: uses the next-day premium of previous limit-up stocks to judge follow-through demand;
• Turnover relative to the 20-day average: avoids misreading absolute volume in bull or bear regimes;
• Limit-down vs. limit-up comparison: tracks the spread of loss effect;
• Market breadth: looks at the advance-decline balance.

In practice, if a user only provides partial inputs such as limit-up count, failed limit-up rate, and turnover, the skill fills in missing indicators and scores each one against threshold tables. The total score maps to a stage and a corresponding action bias. For reversal detection, it also checks signals such as leader stock weakness, failed limit-up rate, profit-effect decay, limit-up recovery, and active participation from major speculative capital. For example, multiple upward signals during a cold phase may suggest recovery, while two fading signals during climax or overheated conditions may suggest risk.

Boundaries

This model is suitable for review, position pacing, and short-term sentiment positioning. It should not be treated as a deterministic buy-or-sell instruction. Extreme regulatory events, macro shocks, missing data sources, or abnormal market behavior can invalidate the judgment. The output is intended as a trading reference, not investment advice.